- CD-ROM: 1300 pages
- Publisher: The Millennium Project
- Publishing date: April 30, 2009
- Language: English
- ISBN-13: 978-0981894119
Futures Research Methodology — Version 3.0
Editors: Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon
The largest, most comprehensive collection of internationally peer-reviewed handbook on methods and tools to explore future possibilities ever assembled in one resource.
Over half of the chapters were written by the inventor of the method or by a significant contributor to the method’s evolution.
The electronic download- contains 39 chapters totaling about 1,300 pages. Each method is treated in a separate file in word (.doc) and PDF format.
The series begins with an introductory chapter to futures research and concludes with a synthesis of methods and speculation about the future of futures research methods. The other 37 chapters cover one specific method (e.g. Futures Wheel, Scenarios) or category of methods (e.g. Systems Perspectives, Normative Forecasting).
Each of the 37 methods includes:
- an executive overview of each method’s history,
- description of the method
- primary and alternative usages,
- strengths and weaknesses,
- uses in combination with other methods, and
- speculation about future evolution of the method.
- Some also contain appendixes with applications, links to software, and sources for further information.
Available as a downloadable ZIP file.
FRM 3.0 Table of Contents
Introduction to Futures Research
Jerome C. Glenn
Environmental Scanning
Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn
Text Mining for Technology Foresight
Alan L. Porter
Delphi
Theodore J. Gordon
Real-Time Delphi
Theodore J. Gordon
The Futures Wheel
Jerome C. Glenn
The Futures Polygon
Antonio Pacinelli
Trend Impact Analysis
Theodore J. Gordon
Cross-Impact Analysis
Theodore J. Gordon
Wild Cards
John Petersen and Karlheintz Steinmueller
Structural Analysis
Jacques Arcade, Michel Godet, Francis Meunier, Fabrice Roubelat
The Systems Perspectives
Allenna Leonard with Stafford Beer
Decision Modeling
The Futures Group International
Substitution Analysis
Theodore J. Gordon
Statistical Modeling
Antonio Pacinelli
Technology Sequence Analysis
Theodore J. Gordon
Morphological Analysis
Tom Ritchey
Relevance Trees
The Futures Group International and Theodore J. Gordon
Scenarios
Jerome C. Glenn and The Futures Group International
A Toolbox Planning
Michel Godet
Interactive Scenarios
Theodore J. Gordon
Robust Decision-making
Robert Lempert, Steven Popper, Steve Bankes (RAND Corporation)
Participatory Methods
Jerome C. Glenn
Simulation and Games
Erwin Rausch with additions from Frank Catanzaro
Genius Forecasting, Intuition, and Vision
Jerome C. Glenn
Prediction Markets
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz
Using Vision in Futures
Clem Bezold
Normative Forecasting
Joe Coates and Jerome C. Glenn
S&T Road Mapping
T ore J. Gordon
Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR)
R. Geoffrey Coyle
Agent Modeling (demo software)
Theodore J. Gordon
Chaos and Non-Linear Dynamics
Theodore Gordon
Multiple Perspective Concept
Harold Linstone
Heuristics Modeling
Sam Cole
Causal Layered Analysis
Sohail Inayatullah
Personal Futures
Verne Wheelwright
State of the Future Index
Theodore J. Gordon
SOFI Software System
Peter Yim
Integration, Comparisons, and Frontiers of Futures Research Methods
Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn