2002 State of the Future
by Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. Gordon

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Table of Contents
Executive Summary:- French
                                 - Persian
                                 - Portugese
                                - Slovak
                                                   - Spanish
 

The 2002 edition of the State of the Future addresses in a coherent and forward-looking way many of the issues that impact on the evolution of our planet and the people living on it. At a time of accelerating globalization and an increasing need to organize our societies accordingly, it is essential for policy-makers at all levels to be able to rely on such solid analysis of global trends. The study is a good example of building collective intelligence based on a large network across the world.

Philippe Busquin, Commissioner for Science & Technology
The European Commission


The 2002 State of the Future report provides important insights into the challenges facing our growing, interconnected global society. Thanks to inspiration by the Millennium Project,  “The Tech Museum Awards: Technology Benefiting Humanity” was launched and is now flourishing as we work together to use technology to improve the human condition.

James C. Morgan, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Applied Materials, Inc.


2002 State of the Future is a unique resource for those who care about global change and improving the future. It provides an assessment of the human situation as a whole, prospects for the future, and actions for today. It is used by both those who need the most precise briefings and those who want the full research background. Each chapter in the book is an executive summary of more complete reports in the CD-ROM section of about 2,000 pages. As a result, it provides a common platform for global actors, educators, and the concerned public to use in building more coherent policy.

Paperback with CD-ROM. 100 pages print and about 2,000 pages CD-ROM
ISBN 0-9657362-9-6
Published: August 2002
Price: $49.98 US dollars plus shipping. Discount 40% for orders over 10 copies.
(Payment by major credit cards or US dollars check or money order)
 

It is produced by the Millennium Project, which collects, feeds back, and assesses insights from creative and knowledgeable people on emerging crises, opportunities, strategic priorities, and the feasibility of actions. Over 1,000 futurists, business planners, scientists, scholars, and decisionmakers who work for international organizations, governments, private corporations, NGOs, and universities in more than 50 countries have contributed to this five-year cumulative research. Your feedback is welcome to improve the next State of the Future.

Also available:

Chinese edition

Persian edition


Table of Contents

Print Section
CD-ROM Section

Print Section

Executive Summary - 1

1. Global Challenges -  9

2. State of the Future Index -  41

3. Long-Range Goals for the Year 2050 - 49

4. Counterterrorism—Scenarios, Actions, and Policies - 55

5. Management and Policy Implications of Future Science and Technology Issues - 65

6. Future International Environmental Security Issues and Potential Military Requirements - 89

Appendix

Millennium Project Participants: General Demographics - 99


Acronyms and Abbreviations - 100

CD-ROM Section






EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (9 pages)

1. GLOBAL CHALLENGES (471 pages)

General description with comments and a range of views
Regional perspectives
Actions to address the challenge with a range of views
Indicators to measure progress on the challenge


2. STATE OF THE FUTURE INDEX

2.1 State of the Future Index—2001 (66 pages)
2.2 State of the Future Index—2002 (37 pages)


3. LONG-RANGE GOALS FOR THE YEAR 2050 (24 pages)

4. SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

4.1 Future Issues of Science and Technology (79 pages)
4.2 Management and Policy Implications for Future Science and Technology Issues (221 pages)


5. WORLD LEADERS ON GLOBAL CHALLENGES (42 pages)

5.1 Executive Summary
5.2 Globalization
5.3 Rich-Poor Gap
5.4 Human Rights
5.5 UN Reform
5.6 Environmental Issues
6. GLOBAL SCENARIOS
6.1 Counterterrorism—Scenarios, Actions, and Policies (40 pages)
6.2 Normative Scenario to the Year 2050 (18 pages)
6.3 Exploratory Scenarios (40 pages)
6.4 Very Long-Range Scenarios—1000 years (23 pages)


7. MEASURING AND PROMOTING SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

7.1 Measuring Sustainable Development (17 pages)
7.2 The Sustainable Development Index (26 pages)
7.3 Partnership for Sustainable Development (33 pages)
8. ENVIRONMENTAL SECURITY
8.1 Environmental Security: Emerging International Definitions, Perceptions, and Policy Considerations (43 pages)
8.2 Environmental Security: United Nations Doctrine for Managing Environmental Issues in Military Actions (113 pages)
8.3 Environmental Crimes in Military Actions and the International Criminal Court (ICC)—United Nations Perspectives (30 pages)
8.4 Future International Environmental Security Issues and Potential Military Requirements (43 pages)
APPENDICES
Appendix A: Millennium Project Participants, 1996–2002 (list of names with affiliation and country)
Appendix B: State of the Future Index (60 pages)
Appendix C: Long-Range Goals for The Year 2050 (59 pages)
Appendix D: Future Issues of Science and Technology  (64 pages)
Appendix E: World Leaders on Global Challenges (28 pages)
Appendix F:  Scenarios (171 pages)
Appendix G: Measuring and Promoting Sustainable Development  (40 pages)
Appendix H: Environmental Security Studies (150 pages)
Appendix I: Factors Required for Successful Implementation of Futures Research in Decisionmaking  (109 pages)
Appendix J: Annotated Bibliography of over 400 Scenarios and/or Scenario Sets (350 pages)
Appendix K: Publications of the Millennium Project


ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS


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Title: 2002 State of the Future
ISBN: 0-9657362-9-6

Price: $49.98 US dollars (plus shipping: $3.95 in the USA; $7.00 Canada; $9.00 all other countries). Discount for order of 10 issues or more: 40%

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