The 's Millennium Project on the State of the Future
combines,
as it should, flights of imagination into the far future with tightly focused
analyses of present challenges. An indispensable volume for those
who seek both the inspiration and enlightenment needed to meet the challenges
that will make a productive future possible.
The mission of the UNU is to generate new ideas and fresh thinking
of relevance to the United Nations and, in a wider sense, to the challenges
faced by humanity. As we enter the new Millennium, the State of the
Future provides valuable insights into our vastly more complex, inter-linked
and mutually dependent world.
2001 State of the Future is a
unique resource for those who care about global change and improving the
future. It provides an assessment of the human situation as a whole, prospects
for the future, and actions for today. It is used by both those who need
the most precise briefings and those who want the full research background.
Each chapter in the book is an executive summary of more complete reports
in the CD-ROM section of over 1,500 pages. As a result, it provides a common
platform for global actors, educators, and concerned public to use in building
more coherent policy.
It is produced by the Millennium Project, which collects, feeds back, and assesses insights from creative and knowledgeable people on emerging crises, opportunities, strategic priorities, and the feasibility of actions. Over 1,000 futurists, business planners, scientists, scholars, and decisionmakers who work for international organizations, governments, private corporations, NGOs, and universities in more than 50 countries have contributed to this five-year cumulative research. Your feedback is welcome to improve the next State of the Future.
Executive Summary 1
1. Global Challenges 7
2. State of the Future Index 39
3. Future Issues of Science and Technology 45
4. World Leaders on Global Challenges 55
5. Measuring and Promoting Sustainable Development 61
5.1 Measuring Sustainable Development 626. Scenarios 75
5.2 The Sustainable Development Index 66
5.3 Partnership for Sustainable Development 71
7. Environmental Security 81
Appendix
Millennium Project Participants: General Demographics 88Acronyms 89
Executive Summary (6 pages)
1. Global Challenges (424 pages)
General description with comments and a range of views2. State of the Future Index (66 pages)
Regional perspectives
Actions to address the challenge with a range of views
Indicators to measure progress on the challenge
2.1 Executive Summary3. Future Issues of Science and Technology (79 pages)
2.2 Some Existing Indicator Activities
2.3 Concept of the State of the Future Index (SOFI)
2.4 Five Important Questions in Designing the SOFI
2.5 An Example of a Global SOFI Analysis
2.6 Research Issues
2.7 Conclusions
3.1 Executive Summary4. World Leaders on Global Challenges (42 pages)
3.2 Introduction and Study Objectives
3.3 Study Design
3.4 The S&T Questions
2.5 Range of Opinions on Answers to the S&T Questions
3.6 Analysis
3.7 Online Comments
3.8 Questionnaire Comments
3.8 Conclusions
Executive Summary
4.1 Globalization
4.2 Peace and Conflict
4.3 Rich-Poor Gap
4.4 Human Rights
4.5 UN Reform
4.6 Environmental Issues
5. Measuring and Promoting Sustainable Development (44 pages)
5.1 Measuring Sustainable Development6. Scenarios
5.2 The Sustainable Development Index
5.3 Partnership for Sustainable Development6. Scenarios (84 pages)
6.1 Exploratory Scenarios7. Environmental Security (163 pages)
6.2 Global Normative Scenario
6.3 Very Long-Range Scenarios (1000 years)
7.1 Environmental Security: Emerging International Definitions, Perceptions, and Policy ConsiderationsAppendices
7.2 Environmental Security: United Nations Doctrine for Managing Environmental Issues in Military Actions
7.3 Environmental Crimes in Military Actions and the International Criminal Court (ICC)--United Nations Perspectives
Appendix A: Millennium Project Participants, 1996-2001Acronyms
Appendix B: The State of the Future Index (50 pages)
Appendix C: Future Issues of Science and Technology (53 pages)
Appendix D: World Leaders on Global Challenges (28 pages)
Appendix E: Measuring and Promoting Sustainable Development (39 pages)
Appendix F: Scenarios (145 pages)
Appendix G: Environmental Security Studies (92 pages)
Appendix H: Annotated Bibliography of over 400 Scenarios and/or Scenario Sets (202 pages)
Appendix I: Factors Required for Successful Implementation of Futures Research in Decisionmaking (110 pages)
Appendix J: Publications of the Millennium Project
To order: send email to acunu@igc.org or tel/fax: 202-686-5179