Millennium Project
Global Challenges
Round 1 Results

This table presents the median value of the responses to the Global Challenges-Round 1 questions about the best plausible and worst plausible values of the twenty variables of the State of the Future Index (SOFI) in 2013.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Round 1 median response

 Variable
Historical Values
Historical Values
Best Value
Worst Value
   
1982
2002
2013
2013
Infant Mortality Rate (deaths per 1,000 live births) 86.7 52.4 30.0 50.0
Food availability Calories/capita Developing Countries 2382.0 2740.0 3,000.0 2,775.0
GNP per capita PPP (constant 1995 $US) 4,335 5,675 6,525.0 5,700.0
Percentage of Households with access to safe water (15 Most Populated Countries) 60.7 80.9 90.0 80.4
CO2 atmospheric, ppm 337.9 367.5 370.0 400.0
Annual population additions (millions) 80.6 73.9 60.0 72.0
Percent unemployed (world) 5.6 7.0 6.0 9.0
Literacy rate, adult total (% of people aged 15 and above) 64.9 78.0 85.0 80.0
Annual AIDS deaths (millions) 0.00 3.10 2.0 5.0
Life Expectancy (World) 56.8 63.8 70.0 64.0
Number of Armed Conflicts (at least 1000 deaths/year) 31 25 15.0 30.0
Debt/GNP; Developing Countries (%) 24.7 42.9 35.0 50.0
Forest Lands (Million Hectares) 4087 3897 4,000.0 3,700.0
Number of People Living on Less than $2 per day 2295 2884 2,400.0 3,139.5
Terrorist Attacks- deaths and injuries 739 3361 1,000.0 4,000.0
Violent Crime, 17 Countries (per 100,000 population) 1151 1077 900.0 1,175.5
Percentage of World Population Living in Countries that are Not Free 41.7 35.0 25.0 35.0
School Enrollment, secondary (% school age) 48 69 80.0 70.0
Percentage of population with access to local health care (15 most populated countries) 70.6 97.8 99.0 95.0
Number of countries thought to have or attempting to acquire nuclear weapons 14 17 12.0 20.0

Study conducted in January-February 2004.



Round 2 Questionnaire

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