2012 State of the Future

by Jerome C. Glenn, Theodore J. Gordon, and Elizabeth Florescu

Invaluable insights
       Ban Ki-moon, Secretary-General, United Nations
       A must read for any decisionmaker
              Enrique Peña Nieto, President of Mexico 
   
The 15 Global Challenges in the State of the Future should be read by all leaders
       Eduardo Frei, Former President of Chile
       The best introduction to the major global issues and
       long-term remedies

              Global Foresight Books
   
State of the Future is a 'must read' for urban development decisions of today, which are changing our global future
       Zoran Janković, Mayor of Ljubljana, Slovenia
      Many thanks for organizing, analyzing, interpreting, and      presenting  these important data. I have found past State of the      Future reports  essential to my work and over the years they just      keep getting better and better.
              
Wendell Bell, Professor Emeritus, Yale University

Executive Summary: English, Korean, Spanish, Romanian, Russian

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Table of Contents

The 2012 State of the Future is a concise, readable overview of the global situation, problems, solutions, and prospects for the future.  It covers the global landscape with two-page overviews with regional considerations of 15 global challenges such as energy, food, science & technology, ethics, development, water, organized crime, health, decisionmaking, gender relations, demographics, war & peace, and others. These together with the executive summary are ideal for busy executives, thought leaders, corporate strategic planners, public policy experts, policy advisors, non-profit issues organizations, teachers and professors of world issues, and anyone interested in a global overview of our prospects for the future – with discussions of problems and potential solutions.

It is produced by the Millennium Project with its 46 Nodes (groups of futurists and organizations) around the world, which collects, feeds back, and assesses insights from creative and knowledgeable people on emerging crises, opportunities, strategic priorities, and the feasibility of actions.

“The 2012 State of the Future finds the world is getting richer, healthier, better educated, living longer, and is more peaceful and better connected; yet half the world is potentially unstable. Food prices are rising, water tables are falling, corruption and organized crime are increasing, environmental viability for our life support is diminishing, debt and economic insecurity are increasing, climate change continues, and the gap between the rich and poor is widening dangerously.'' says co-author and Millennium Project Director. Jerome C. Glenn.

 


Table of Contents

The 2012 State of the Future The enclosed CD of about 10,000 pages contains the cumulative work of the Millennium Project since 1996 and details of the studies included in the print section.


Table of Contents - CD Section


Executive Summary (9 pages)
*Executive Edition of 2011-2012 Research (172 pages)

1.*   Global Challenges (1,900 pages)

2.*   State of the Future Index
2.1* Global SOFI (706 pages)
2.2* National SOFIs (245 pages)
         Americas Selected Countries’ National SOFIs (2006, 2005, 2004)
         Azerbaijan* (2011)
         Kuwait* (2010)
         South Korea, Republic of (2008, 2007)
         Timor-Leste, Democratic Republic of (2011)
         Turkey (2007, 2006)
2.3 Producing SOFI Using the International Futures Model (28 pages)
2.4 Global Challenges Assessment (227 pages)
2.5 RTD for Assessing Variables and Developments for 2012 SOFI (135 pages)

3.     Global Scenarios
3.1 Normative Scenario to the Year 2050 (19 pages)
3.2 Exploratory Scenarios (42 pages)
3.3 Very Long-Range Scenarios—1,000 years (170 pages)
3.4 Counterterrorism—Scenarios, Actions, and Policies (66 pages)
3.5 Science and Technology 2025 Global Scenarios (21 pages)
3.6 Global Energy Scenarios 2020 (276 pages)
3.7 Middle East Peace Scenarios (181 pages)
3.8 Latin America 2030 Scenarios (23 pages)

4.     Governance and Futures
4.1 Government Future Strategy Units and Some Potentials for International Strategic Coordination (30 pages)
4.2 Global Goals for the Year 2050 (83 pages)
4.3 World Leaders on Global Challenges (72 pages)
4.4 Futures Research and Future Gaps around the World (13 pages)
4.5 Latin America 2030 (516 pages)
4.6* Kuwait Hopes and Fears (11 pages)
4.7 Egypt 2020 (9 pages)
4.8 Australian Report for State of the Future 2011 (128 pages)

5.     Economics and Business
5.1 Some Elements of the Next Global Economic System over the Next 20 Years (208 pages)
5.2* Cooperatives 2030: Some Factors Impacting the Future of Cooperatives and Business (114 pages)

6.     Science and Technology
6.1 Future S&T Management and Policy Issues (516 pages)
6.2 Nanotechnology: Future Military Environmental Health Considerations (29 pages)

7.     Building Collective Intelligence Systems
7.1 Global Energy Collective Intelligence (20 pages)
7.2 Two Applications of Collective Intelligence (Climate Change Situation Room, Early Warning for a Prime Minister Office) (9 pages)
7.3* Future of Ontologists (51 pages)

8.     Measuring and Promoting Sustainable Development
8.1 Measuring Sustainable Development (61 pages)
8.2 Quality and Sustainability of Life Indicators (8 pages)
8.3 Partnership for Sustainable Development (96 pages)
8.4 A Marshall Plan for Haiti (10 pages)

9.     Environmental Security
9.1 Emerging Environmental Security Issues (1,274 pages)
9.2 Environmental Security: Emerging International Definitions, Perceptions, and Policy Considerations (102 pages)
9.3 Environmental Security: UN Doctrine for Managing Environmental Issues in Military Actions (124 pages)
9.4 Environmental Crimes in Military Actions and the International Criminal Court (ICC)—UN Perspectives (51 pages)
9.5 Environmental Security and Potential Military Requirements (101 pages)

10.    Education and Learning 2030 (131 pages)

11.    Future Ethical Issues (323 pages)

12.*  Changing Gender Stereotypes (110 pages)

13.    Future Arts, Media, and Entertainment: Seeds for 2020 (109 pages)

14.    Improving Futures Research
14.1 Factors Required for Successful Implementation of Futures Research in Decision-Making (103 pages)
14.2 The Real-Time Delphi Process

Appendices
         Appendix A:*Annotated Bibliography of About 850 Scenario Sets (1,137 pages)
         Appendix B:*Index of Global Reports 2011-2012
         Appendix C:  Ethics-Related Organizations
         Appendix D: Global Energy Scenarios and Related Research
         Appendix E:  Women/Gender Organizations
         Appendix F:  Reflections on the Tenth Anniversary of The Millennium Project
         Appendix G: Millennium Project Participants since 1996
         Appendix H:  Publications of The Millennium Project
                  Acronyms and Abbreviations


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